21st May 2013
Since the publication of our most recent forecast the OBR has received a further request to release previously unpublished forecast series. We will release new supplementary fiscal tables showing LA spending by country on Wednesday 22 May at 11:00am. The release will be available in the supplementary documents section on the main EFO page of the website
13th May 2013
Robert Chote discussed what difference the creation of the OBR had made to UK fiscal policy in the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries’ Spring Lecture in London
9th May 2013
Since the publication of our most recent forecast the OBR has received a further request to release previously unpublished forecast series. We have today released a number of variables underlying the OBR’s Economic and Fiscal Outlook published in March 2013.
22nd April 2013
Since the publication of our most recent forecast the OBR has received a further request to release previously unpublished forecast series. We released oil and gas industry expenditure assumptions on Tuesday 23 April. The release is available in the supplementary documents section on the main EFO page of the website
20th March 2013
Our Budget forecast was published on 20 March alongside the Budget. It contains forecasts for the UK economy and public finances to 2017-18 and our assessment of whether the Government is likely to achieve its fiscal mandate and supplementary target. The full document and supporting information is available on the main EFO page.
8th March 2013
Robert Chote has written a letter to the Prime Minister today regarding the reference to the OBR in the speech of March 7th on the economy.
9th November 2012
The Chancellor announced today that the excess cash held at the Bank of England’s Quantitative Easing facility will be transferred to the Exchequer. This notice sets out our initial take on what this means for the public finances. We will make a more detailed assessment on the impact on the public finances when we publish [...]
20th July 2012
This paper presents a small model of the UK economy extended to take account of credit risk premia and unconventional monetary policy. It can be used to run simulations or provide alternative economic scenarios. The model can be applied to provide some indication of how the stance of monetary policy might adjust in response to [...]
28th June 2012
This working paper reassesses the size of the cyclical adjustment coefficients considering a range of approaches. Using these coefficients and the OBR’s historical output gap series we produce an updated historical series for structural net borrowing. We have also published a database of all the major tax policy measures announced in Budgets since 1970.
28th June 2012
In our latest Briefing paper we set out our approach to presenting uncertainty both about the outlook for the economy and about the performance of revenues and spending in any given state of the economy.