Economic forecasts

The OBR produces medium term forecasts of the UK economy twice a year in its Economic and fiscal outlook. HM Treasury compiles a monthly list of external economic forecasts, comparing them to those of the OBR.

Where possible we also release supplementary economic forecast information or data in response to external requests which we receive after publication of the EFO. On this page you can find all our latest economic forecast publications and supplementary releases.

The OBR has published two briefing papers to describe the approach we use to economic forecasting and to provide detail on the methodology we use to estimate the output gap.

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pdf
19th March 2014
pdf, 2.29 MB

pdf
5th December 2013
pdf, 2.31 MB

xls
22nd October 2013
xls, 2.36 MB

pdf
9th October 2013
pdf, 769.04 kB

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Latest publications